Fearless Oscar Predictions 2025

Results 16/23 – not too bad.

Predictions are in Italics and winners in Bold.

Best picture
Anora
The Brutalist
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
I’m Still Here
Nickel Boys
The Substance
Wicked

Best director
Sean Baker, Anora
Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
James Mangold, A Complete Unknown
Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez
Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

Best actress
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
Karla Sofia Gascón, Emilia Pérez
Mikey Madison, Anora
Demi Moore, The Substance
Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here

Best actor
Adrian Brody, The Brutalist
Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

Best supporting actress
Monica Barbaro, A Complete Unknown
Ariana Grande, Wicked
Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

Best supporting actor
Yura Borisov, Anora
Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

Best original screenplay
Anora, Sean Baker
The Brutalist, Brady Corbet & Mona Fastvold
A Real Pain, Jesse Eisenberg
September 5, Tim Fehlbaum & Moritz Binder
The Substance, Coralie Fargeat

Best adapted screenplay
A Complete Unknown, Jay Cocks & James Mangold
Conclave, Peter Straughan
Emilia Pérez, Jacques Audiard, Thomas Bidegain & Nicolas Livecchi
Nickel Boys, RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes
Sing Sing, Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin & John Divine G Whitfield

Best international feature
I’m Still Here, Walter Salles (Brazil)
The Girl with the Needle, Magnus von Horn (Denmark)
Emilia Pérez, Jacques Audiard (France)
The Seed of the Sacred Fig, Mohammad Rasoulof (Germany)
Flow, Miguel Gomes (Latvia)

Best documentary feature
Black Box Diaries, Shiori Itō
No Other Land, Basel Adra, Hamdan Ballal, Yuval Abraham & Rachel Szor
Porcelain War, Brendan Bellomo & Slava Leontyev
Soundtrack to a Coup d’Etat, Johan Grimonprez
Sugarcane, Julian Brave NoiseCat & Emily Kassie

Best animated feature
Flow
Inside Out 2
Memoir of a Snail
Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl
The Wild Robot

Best cinematography
The Brutalist
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Maria
Nosferatu

Best costume design
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Gladiator II
Nosferatu
Wicked

Best film editing
Anora
The Brutalist
Conclave
Emilia Pérez
Wicked

Best production design
The Brutalist
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
Wicked

Best original score
The Brutalist, Daniel Blumberg
Conclave, Volker Bertelmann
Emilia Pérez, Clément Ducol & Camille
Wicked, John Powell & Stephen Schwartz
The Wild Robot, Kris Bowers

Best original song
Never Too Late, Elton John: Never Too Late (Elton John & Brandi Carlile)
El Mal, Emilia Pérez (Clement Ducol, Camille & Jacques Audiard)
Mi Camino, Emilia Pérez (Clement Ducol & Camille)
Like a Bird, Sing Sing (Adrian Quesada & Abraham Alexander)
The Journey, The Six Triple Eight (Diane Warren)

Best sound
A Complete Unknown
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Pérez
Wicked
The Wild Robot

Best visual effects
Alien: Romulus
Better Man
Dune: Part Two
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Wicked

Best makeup and hairstyling
A Different Man
Emilia Pérez
Nosferatu
The Substance
Wicked

Best documentary short
Death by Numbers
I Am Ready, Warden
Incident
Instruments of a Beating Heart
The Only Girl in the Orchestra

Best animated short
Beautiful Men
In the Shadow of the Cypress
Magic Candies
Wander to Wonder
Yuck!

Best live-action short
A Lien
Anuja
I’m Not a Robot
The Last Ranger
The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

Fearless Oscar Predictions 2024

Update: 21 out of 23 called correctly!

Predictions in Bold, Winners in Italics.

BEST PICTURE
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
Zone of Interest

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Annette Bening, Nyad
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Emma Stone, Poor Things

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
America Ferrera, Barbie
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)
Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)
Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer)
Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

BEST DIRECTOR
Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Nimona
Robot Dreams
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM
The Teachers’ Lounge,Germany
Io Capitano,Italy
Perfect Days,Japan
Society of the Snow,Spain
The Zone of Interest, United Kingdom

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Maestro
May December
Past Lives

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Fiction
Barbie
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
American Fiction
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“The Fire Inside” from Flamin’ Hot
“I’m Just Ken” from Barbie
“It Never Went Away” from American Symphony
“Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People),” Killers of the Flower Moon
“What Was I Made For?” from Barbie

BEST FILM EDITING
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
El Conde
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
Godzilla Minus One
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Mission: Impossible — Dead Reckoning Part One
Napoleon

BEST SOUND
The Creator
Maestro
Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Golda
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Society of the Snow

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE FILM
Bobi Wine: The People’s President
The Eternal Memory
Four Daughters
To Kill a Tiger
20 Days in Mariupol

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Letter to a Pig
Ninety-Five Senses
Our Uniform
Pachyderme
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM
The After
Invincible
Knight of Fortune
Red, White and Blue
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The ABCs of Book Banning
The Barber of Little Rock
Island In Between
The Last Repair Shop
Nǎi Nai & Wài Pó